Finance, metrics & runway · 2026-10-12

Does usage revenue count as ARR? AI usage vs subscription in the board pack

Subscription fees and contractual minimum commits count as ARR. Usage above the commit, pay-as-you-go consumption, pilots, and credits go on their own labeled lines. Write one definition and use it in the deck, model, board pack, and data room.

Usage revenue counts as ARR only up to what the contract commits. Subscription fees and recurring minimum commits are ARR. Usage above the commit, pay-as-you-go consumption, pilots, credits, and services go on separate, labeled lines. Burkland’s 2026 playbook for AI startups puts it in one rule: if you cannot tie a dollar to a renewable contractual commitment, call it run-rate, bookings, services, or pipeline. Investors rebuild your ARR in diligence. If the number shifts between the deck and the data room, expect them to discount all of it. Not legal, tax, or investment advice.

What counts as ARR

Revenue typeExampleIn ARR?Where it goes
Subscription or platform feeAnnual seat or platform contractYesARR
Recurring minimum commitContract commits to a monthly or annual usage floorYes, up to the minimumARR
Usage above the commitTokens, API calls, or resolutions past the included amountNoUsage run-rate
Pay-as-you-go consumptionCard-billed usage with no contract floorNoUsage run-rate
Pilot or POC with no renewal languageThree-month pilot with an opt-outNoPilot line, with a conversion table
Promotional credits and free allowancesLaunch credits, free tierNoTrack as adoption, not revenue quality
Outcome fees with no minimumPer-resolution fee, no floorNoRun-rate line
Setup, implementation, servicesOnboarding project, custom workNoServices and one-time

Rows from Burkland’s AI ARR policy (Debbie Rosler, February 2026) and Stripe’s committed ARR guide (February 2026). a16z’s 16 startup metrics (2015) and ChartMogul’s ARR page both exclude one-time fees and professional services. ChartMogul defines ARR as a measure of predictable, recurring revenue from subscription contracts.

Stripe adds one exception. If the contract fixes usage above the minimum, that amount can count. Burkland’s test for any line: if the customer stopped using the product tomorrow, could you still collect what you counted? A no sends that line to run-rate.

Why investors push back on blended ARR

L.E.K. Consulting (July 2025) calls ARR “a catchall label” for everything from fixed subscriptions to variable usage and AI-driven pricing. L.E.K. sees companies split contracted ARR (CARR) from variable revenue, which some annualize and others track as usage-based ARR (UARR). L.E.K. notes usage can take six to 12 months to stabilize, and NRR often looks inflated while new accounts ramp.

ChartMogul’s ARR page shows a second layer of confusion. ARR can mean Annualized Run Rate (MRR × 12) or Annual Recurring Revenue (annual and multi-year contracts only). Pick one and say which.

GTMfund’s newsletter (September 2025) names the pilot version of the problem Experimental Runrate Revenue. Its pattern: AI buyers sign three-month pilots with opt-outs, and teams book that revenue as ARR in decks. Burkland’s warning: when an ARR slide needs three minutes of verbal footnotes, many investors discount it. Services buried inside ARR often lead investors to discount the whole number.

Public consumption companies show the two approaches. Snowflake’s FY2025 10-K reports no ARR metric. It recognizes revenue on consumption, says it lacks the revenue-timing visibility of a subscription company, and reports remaining performance obligations of about $6.9 billion, with about 48% expected in the next 12 months. MongoDB reports an ARR that includes annualized usage, and its 10-K states the 90-day and 30-day windows. Both filings state the method next to the number.

How to present it on the board pack

LineWhat it holdsHow you annualizeWhat sits beside it
ARR (committed)Subscription fees plus recurring minimum commitsContracted recurring amount, annualizedARR bridge; GRR and NRR on this base
Usage run-rateUsage above the commit and pay-as-you-goTrailing window annualized; state the windowUsage trend by cohort
PilotsPaid pilots and POCs without renewal languageDo not annualize into ARRPilot-to-production conversion table
Services and one-timeSetup, implementation, custom workNoneSeparate revenue line
Total revenueRecognized revenue for the periodNoneReconciles to the ledger

The layered view (ARR, usage run-rate, services) and the pilot conversion table come from Burkland. Burkland’s one-sentence pitch script: you define ARR as contracted recurring commitments and track usage run-rate separately as a growth signal. If you also want a combined figure, label it “ARR + usage run-rate,” show both parts beside it, and state the window. Do not call the combined figure ARR.

Run NRR and GRR on the committed line first. Usage ramps can lift NRR in early months (L.E.K.), and published retention bands come from subscription samples. Burn multiple divides net burn by net new ARR (Sacks), so your ARR definition moves that number too. See burn multiple vs Rule of 40.

For diligence, Burkland lists five schedules investors rebuild anyway: a metrics definitions page, a customer contract schedule, an ARR bridge, a 12-month renewal calendar, and a reconciliation from contracts to billing, cash, and accounting. They slot into the room on the Series A diligence checklist.

A labeled example

An AI support product bills a platform fee, a monthly usage floor on some contracts, and per-resolution usage above the floor.

LineMonthlyTreatmentAnnualized
Platform subscriptions$40kARR$480k
Recurring minimum commits$10kARR$120k
Usage above commits (trailing 3-month average)$15kUsage run-rate$180k
Paid pilots, no renewal language$5kPilot lineNot annualized into ARR
Implementation fees this month$8kServicesNot annualized

Reported ARR is $600k ($480k + $120k). Usage run-rate is $180k, labeled with its three-month window. Annualize all five lines and the slide says $936k. In diligence that $336k gap reads as an inflated headline, and the investor then discounts the clean $600k too.

Mistakes that cost trust

Annualizing a first-month spike. Onboarding bursts and one-off migrations make a fragile headline (Burkland). Use a stated trailing window.

Counting pilots as ARR. A three-month pilot with an opt-out is a trial (GTMfund). Show it with a conversion table. Converting pilots is its own job: pilot to paid contract.

Changing the definition mid-raise. Burkland’s policy exists to stop the definition drifting as pricing changes or fundraising pressure rises. If you change it, restate past periods on the new rule and tell the board first.

Comparing blended ARR to peers’ subscription ARR. Your blended number and a peer’s contract-only number describe different revenue. Compare committed ARR to committed ARR.

Treating credits as paid usage. Credits drive adoption. Burkland: separate free usage from contracted usage.

Mixing customer definitions. Workspace in one sheet and enterprise logo in another breaks retention and ARPA math (Burkland).

Lock the definition before the board meeting or the raise

ARR definition lock

  1. Pull every contract. Order forms, pilot agreements, and amendments in one contract log (Burkland week 1).
  2. Tag each line. ARR, usage run-rate, pilot, or services, with the clause that supports the tag (Burkland).
  3. Write the one-page policy. Definitions, inclusion and exclusion rules, and the annualization window (Burkland; Stripe for minimum commits).
  4. Restate the trend. Rebuild past months on the new rule so the board sees one consistent line.
  5. Build the schedules. Contract schedule, ARR bridge, renewal calendar, and reconciliation (Burkland weeks 2 to 3).
  6. Use one definitions page everywhere. Deck, model, board pack, and data room (Burkland; FounderNexus session).
  7. Dry-run diligence. Have someone outside the build trace headline ARR to contracts and invoices (Burkland week 4).

Pricing model context

Bessemer’s AI pricing playbook (February 2026) describes hybrid pricing as a base subscription for predictability with usage tiers for upside, and calls it the middle ground for early-stage startups. Under the table above, the base lands in ARR and the tiers above any commit land in usage run-rate. Picking the charge metric is a separate decision: seat vs usage vs outcome pricing.

Growth Unhinged’s 2026 survey (Kyle Poyar, 230 companies, April to May 2026) found 37% on hybrid pricing, up from 25% twelve months earlier. Usage- and outcome-priced companies said their revenue is hard to forecast. Those are shares of companies by pricing model. There is no reliable public benchmark yet for usage revenue share of ARR in AI SaaS, so do not quote a “normal” mix to your board.

A FounderNexus session landed on the same rule: keep AI usage revenue out of ARR, and use one metric definition across the deck, the model, and the board pack. That is operator judgment, not a survey.

Sources

Founders who have defended an ARR definition through a board pack and a raise will pressure-test your revenue lines in a FounderNexus session before the number goes in the deck.